Given
the massive growth in the overall popularity of spread betting as an
investment tool in recent years, alongside the ever higher profile
achieved by the general gaming industry, it is perhaps quite surprising
that the traditional form of gambling – fixed-odds betting – is not
more widely used.....
 Fixed odds betting is often overlooked by investors Given
the massive growth in the overall popularity of spread betting as an
investment tool in recent years, alongside the ever higher profile
achieved by the general gaming industry, it is perhaps quite surprising
that the traditional form of gambling – fixed-odds betting – is not
more widely used.
Fixed-odds
betting is quick and easy to understand – anyone who has ever placed a
bet on the Grand National or on a football match will know how fixed
odds work. It is commission-free, losses are limited to the amount that
you bet and, under current legislation, the proceeds are tax-free.
However,
to date, fixed-odds financial betting has remained a niche area,
largely served by internet-based specialist services. First into the
field was BetOnMarkets.com which offers a rage of betting facilities on stocks, indices and foreign exchange rates at fixed odds.
Limited risk
Michael Wright, director of BetOnMarkets.com,
feels that ‘With fixed-odds trading you can control your risk entirely.
There is no need to be over-exposed to the market and zero danger of
your account being wiped out by a sudden sharp move. There is also much
greater flexibility available in fixed-odds trading. Profits can be
made in rising, flat and even falling markets, provided that you are
correct about the market direction. There is certainly no more need to
wait for months on end hoping that the FTSE will gain a measly two per
cent.’
Wider options
Wright
explains that ‘Our fixed-odds trades are still mainly on equities, but
we have seen a lot of trading on gold recently. Also, many people use
moving averages on our site, with bets running from one minute to a
maximum of five minutes. But there is no spread involved – the only way
we win on these bets is if the average closes exactly where it started.
There is no commission. It is the fairest trade that I have ever seen.’
Can
betting on the movement of a share price or index really be classed as
an investment strategy? Matt Shaw, owner and operator of the website Fixedoddssuccess.com,
argues that it can. ‘I discovered fixed-odds trading at the beginning
of 2003. At one of the many seminars that I attended for spread
betting, I met a man who had just opened his first fixed-odds virtual
account and begun trading alone. He was actually losing money, as so
many people do when they first start.’
Shaw
highlights what he believes was the reason for this punter’s lack of
success: ‘He was the type who wanted to immediately make the “big
bucks”. Big bucks are great, but you have to learn the ropes first,
slowly building up your pot and progressively expanding your portfolio.’
He
is insistent that fixed-odds punters should follow a coherent strategy.
‘Most of my trades are barrier bets and “no touches” (see below). I now
always make sure to weight my barrier trades as to how I think the
market will level out over the first two to three days of its opening.’

'No touches' and 'barriers'
Matt Shaw, owner of Fixedoddssuccess.com, explains two fixed-odds trading strategies:
With a 'no touch' bet, if I wish to win £1,000, I first price a
potential trade using the BetOnMarkets website. If the Dow Jones index
does not touch or trade through 13,000 (the current trade price being,
say, 12,745) at any time during the next nine days then, if the cost of
the bet is £649, I need a 54% return to make £1,000.
If I am correct, and 13,000 is not reached, I will win £351 (£1,000
minus the £649 stake) tax-free profit.In the week that the trade is
running, the stake price (the premium) will fluctuate according to how
the Dow Jones behaves.
If it rises nearer to the 13,000 level, then my stake will decrease in
value. If it moves away, its value will rise. But it will never rise
above £1,000, as that is the maximum I can gain.
I usually price trades at £8,000 to £12,000, and look to earn around £1,500 per trade.
The 'barrier range' is a similar concept, but you choose higher and
lower barriers. I could, for example, use the 13,000 level as my high
barrier and 12,000 as my low barrier.
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